jets ml at -200 is a win-rate play, not an edge play. my number has them at 65.2% and the price wants 67%, a touch rich, but i'll bank the favorite anyway.
Final dolphins 28, jets 25
San Francisco 49ers -2.5Lost
San Francisco 49ers@Atlanta Falcons
why
niners -2.5 grades at 54% to cover against a 53% bar, draftkings had the best number. thin edge, 0.55%, small and real, not a reach.
Final 49ers 20, falcons 29
Florida Panthers MLWon
Florida Panthers@Chicago Blackhawks
why
panthers grade out around 63% here, price is asking almost 64%. basically no gap, but pinnacle and my own numbers both lean the same way so i took the small, boring edge instead of passing.
Final panthers 3, blackhawks 2
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