big mike's board278-183 mltoday 2-0

suarez takes the ball for boston against alcantara in miami, a matchup that favors the red sox on paper. the model, consensus, and sharp money all point the same direction, which is a cleaner signal than a split market. the honest risk is thin: -123 barely clears the 54% break-even threshold, so there is almost no margin for error if suarez struggles early.

feltner takes the hill for colorado at a park that plays nothing like coors, but he has been hit hard and washington's cavalli has his own command concerns. this line opened soft at 8, which is low for two clubs that regularly surrender runs. model lands at 11.4, a 3-plus run gap that earns real respect. risk: if both starters find early rhythm, this can stay quiet fast.